A Fresh Perspective on the US Elections by Afkarsanjan

Alireza Sarfarazi
3 Min Read
A Fresh Perspective on the US Elections by Afkarsanjan

Fresh perspective of pollsters on the US elections

In the latest Ipsos poll, Harris is clearly ahead of her opponent at the federal level.

Her lead in key states stands at 50 to 46 percent, a significant change from the last poll conducted by this institution last month.

There has been a significant shift in the narrative, as when Biden was in the race, there was a lack of excitement and enthusiasm. Many experts believed that the country’s economic, social, and political situation favored Trump in terms of generating enthusiasm and willingness to participate. This has significantly changed in the recent developments.

The upward trend in encouraging participation will benefit Harris, which is evident in the difference between the opinions of Americans in general, Americans who have registered to vote, and Americans who will definitely vote.

A Fresh Perspective on the US Elections by Afkarsanjan

The results of this poll mirror a recent New York Times poll. It should be noted that the internal statistics of the poll and its results contain many positive points for Harris as well as specific warnings for her.

The first warning is that the increase in engagement should be taken seriously by Harris. The Republican campaign managers for Trump in 2020 proved to have a remarkable ability to attract those who have always been disenchanted or indifferent to politics.

They specifically have the ability to attract men, and Harris will face serious challenges in this regard.

There is no shortage of good news for Harris; she has changed the game in many age and racial groups.

Especially in terms of attracting non-partisan voters who do not have a bias towards conservative or liberal party backgrounds, the situation has completely changed.

A Fresh Perspective on the US Elections by Afkarsanjan
تغییر وضعیت دو رقیب در دو نظرسنجی Ipsos از زمان حضور بایدن تا ورود هریس به انتخابات

This poll was conducted before the widespread publication of Harris’s economic plan, and it remains to be seen what impact her approaches and Trump’s efforts to redefine her as a leftist and communist rival will have on public opinion.

Interestingly, the results of this poll once again showed a subtle point: aging and the lack of mental and psychological conditions to run the country are now Trump’s attribute and characteristic.

A Fresh Perspective on the US Elections by Afkarsanjan
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Master's in Western Philosophy from Iran Master's in International Political Economy with a specialization in Sanction Design from the UK PhD candidate in Political Management and Elections