Attack on consensus and agreement
The issue of consensus within and tension outside the country has been on the agenda of the medical team since the elections.
Now it seems that the stability team intends to disrupt the equations as much as possible.
First, with what is happening in the parliament, and second, in the path of the foreign policy of the fourteenth government, which ends in another agreement at a desirable point.
Iraqchi’s narrative of the JCPOA and Trump
Seyed Abbas Araghchi is an experienced diplomat who has a history of working at senior levels of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in various governments and under different circumstances.
He spoke frankly both in the commission and in the parliament.
He mentioned maintaining Iran’s strategic balance, the Foreign Ministry’s entry into the wealth creation orbit, resistance diplomacy, diplomacy in border regions, and the active role of the diplomatic apparatus of the fourteenth government.
In response to Amirhossein Sabati, a former presenter of Channel One and the current representative of Tehran, who was his most prominent opponent, he said in a video of his comments on the issue of the JCPOA and Trump that the film shown to me was very surprising because it is my pride document. In the last sentence that I used in this video, I said that Trump cannot destroy the JCPOA, and I did not say that Trump will not withdraw from the JCPOA, and this is exactly what happened when the US withdrew from the JCPOA. They tried twice and brought resolutions to the Security Council to dismantle the JCPOA, but they failed both times. It has no precedent for the US to bring resolutions to the Security Council and fail with 13 votes against and 2 in favor, and this happened twice.
Therefore, negotiation to lift sanctions has always been the policy of the Islamic Republic of Iran, and it continued during the government of Martyr Raeisi.
In another place, referring to a tweet from Sabeti that has recently become widespread, in which he wrote ‘death to that border and criterion that reminds me of being born in a land where people like Araqchi, Zarif, Rouhani, Bani Sadr have been born, familiar with them, but considers the Fatemiyoun fighters who have come into this world a few kilometers further away as strangers to me,’ Mr. Sabeti also said, ‘I am not saying death to a homeland where my compatriot is Araqchi, but I am saying my life is sacrificed for a homeland that allows its government critic to speak without hesitation and even question the parliament’s loyalty. I respect all my critics.’
Reviving the JCPOA in the final years of President Rouhani’s administration and continuing this path in President Ebrahim Raisi’s administration were among the important issues that Araqchi raised. He said, ‘When I designed the negotiations to revive the JCPOA in Farvardin 1400 within the framework of the system’s definitive positions and in accordance with the Strategic Action Law, I demonstrated my opinion and practical commitment not now, but in Farvardin 1400, in line with the Strategic Action Law.’ The negotiations to revive the JCPOA, six rounds of which I conducted, took place within the framework of the Strategic Action Law and the system’s definitive positions. In the second round of those negotiations, the leadership addressed me and the negotiating team in a public speech, saying, ‘Say In the name of Allah and proceed.’
Attack on consensus and agreement
In yesterday’s parliament session, there were several interesting points.
First, Araqchi emphasized the Leader’s support for efforts to lift sanctions within the framework and reminded that the proposed Minister of Foreign Affairs had previously designed the negotiations to revive the agreement within the framework of the Strategic Action Law.
Araqchi confirmed that the leadership does not oppose reaching an agreement to secure the country’s interests and untangle the people’s lives.
Second, there were statements used by the opposing representative Araqchi as a certainty.
He said some supporters of Araghchi are saying to definitely vote for him because someone has said he will vote for him.
It is not clear whether the source of the remarks of the hardline Tehran representative refers back to the leadership or to Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf or any other politician.
If the source refers to Ghalibaf, it implies a medical agreement with the doctors and the parliament speaker to gain a vote of confidence; otherwise, what caught the attention of some observers and analysts was that the Minister of Foreign Affairs would be introduced to the parliament with the approval and agreement of the leadership. However, Ayatollah Khamenei has never expressed an opinion on voting for or against a ministerial candidate in political and security departments that are chosen under his supervision. But this interesting statement by a representative close to stability attracted attention.
Political analyst, Mohammad Mahajeri, wrote on his Twitter that saying that the Stability Front and the Saeed Jalili camp will stand against the leadership is not an analysis, it is news.
For now, they are sending the kids out on the pretext of attacking Abbas Araghchi and the JCPOA so that their leaders suffer less damage. Later, when they officially enter the war like the Kharijites, it will be an interesting game to watch.
The next issue is that stability in general undermines the principle of negotiation and agreement, while the leadership may have said at one point that there will be no war, negotiations will not take place in 2019, but ultimately the government of Seyyed Ibrahim Raisi initiated confidential negotiations with the United States in Oman.
So, staying away from negotiation and agreement has never been proposed as a permanent strategy.
It remains to be seen what this trend will do in the coming days, first with the proposed foreign minister, and secondly, what obstacles will be placed in the way of the foreign policy of the fourteenth government.
There is no perfect agreement in the world.
Javid Qurbanoghli, former ambassador and foreign policy analyst, said about his remarks in yesterday’s parliament session that we should look at the issue of yesterday’s parliament session from two perspectives. One is Mr. Araqchi’s perspective, who has been the right hand of Mr. Zarif in achieving the JCPOA and all the path that led to it and still exists. The other perspective is the essence of the JCPOA.
The JCPOA was the result of a great diplomacy that the system decided on and was carried out with the leadership’s approval, and it reached a conclusion. It was not the personal decision of Rouhani, Araqchi, and others. It was approved with the support of all.
If we want to talk about the principle of the JCPOA, there are supporters and opponents of this agreement. Supporters say that the JCPOA is not imperfect because fundamentally in world diplomacy, no agreement is perfect. An agreement is a compromise that both parties reach.
In the course of long-term diplomacy, the two sides raise their demands and desires so that ultimately they can reach a point of balance with each other.
Let’s not forget that before the JCPOA, we were under UN Security Council sanctions. Supporters and defenders of the agreement say it is not the case that the country was in a good situation before the nuclear talks and agreement.
We were forced into the agreement, and this process started in the last year of Mr. Ahmadinejad’s government when Mr. Salehi went to Oman and negotiated.
This former diplomat stated that the opposing group to the agreement were willing to do anything to prevent it from being signed during the negotiations. They resorted to various tactics during the negotiations to prevent the JCPOA from being signed.
From climbing the walls of the embassy to publishing night letters and other actions, they gained power over these years.
I think these two perspectives need to be managed in order to ultimately reach a conclusion.
Qarabanoqoli pointed out the importance of Iran staying away from the Security Council sanctions. I think Mr. Araghchi intends to continue this path until Resolution 2231 expires in October 2025 and conditions in the Security Council return to normal.
Since then, the previous 6 resolutions cannot be returned unless the other party uses the snapback mechanism, which has its requirements. In those conditions, Iran’s nuclear program remains intact. Currently, we are in a very dangerous and difficult situation that we must safely pass through.
The former Iranian ambassador to South Africa reminded us that we need an agreement, whether it is called the JCPOA or not. The nuclear agreement is one of the prerequisites of following Mr. Pezeshkian’s policies. Those who oppose this issue are actually dodging the fire that Netanyahu has lit.
The current nuclear agreement is not in good shape, and the Prime Minister of Israel prays for the return of Iran’s sanction resolutions at the Security Council.
It is impossible to work with Pakistan without lifting the sanctions.
Mehdi Zakerian, an international relations professor, clearly stated that it is evident that Iran needs the lifting of financial, economic, and political sanctions to connect to the global economy and international markets. Without the removal of sanctions, Iran’s economic progress is not possible.
Such issues require an international agreement. You cannot go fishing and demand a duck in return in the market. Iran is a raw material exporter and does not have specific industrial production.
Whether it’s cars, textiles, toys, or anything that can be considered consumer goods, that is why our country is not a significant producer in the international system. Therefore, this is a limitation.
But even if we were, we still need to connect to the world through international financial networks. This connection has been severed, and to be able to sell something, we spend more and have created what is called a gray market, which is detrimental to Iran.
Therefore, in Iran, we need an agreement, whether it is called the JCPOA or not. The statements made are political rhetoric and do not solve any problems for the country in practice.
He added that the same issue of barter transactions was raised. We give oil and receive consumer goods, not industrial goods. Claimants argue that this method is effective. They should provide a report to see what achievements we have had in the past three years with this method under Mr. Raeisi’s government.
We took taxis from China, and the amount is equivalent to China’s investment in neighboring countries of Iran.
They say we have not achieved anything. Tell them that your JCPOA is valuable. We obtained these through our own method. The same JCPOA that they say had no value opened many doors for Iran. After Trump’s exit, we did not seek to revive the JCPOA. We said we will work with Europe, Russia, and China.
America blew up the whole agreement.
Internally, they created obstacles. It is impossible to work under these conditions. We want to work with neighboring countries. Saudi Arabia works with us. The Central Bank of Pakistan has permission for financial transactions with us. Let’s barter with Pakistan. Give oil and receive something in return.
Zakeryan added that speaking is simple. Sometimes, representatives who speak make people feel like they have reached the top floor of an elevator and have not achieved anything with difficulty.
Because these words do not show any understanding of the difficult situation of people’s lives, only those who have lived like people can understand these issues.
Persian
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