Iranian Meteorologist Expert is Unable to Provide Accurate Predictions

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Iranian Meteorologist Expert is Unable to Provide Accurate Predictions

The Iranian meteorological expert is unable to provide accurate forecasts.

Hossein Ardakani recalled predicting approximately 3 months ago that very cold snowy weather would enter Iran between 20th and 30th of Bahman. He stated that it was an academic model and the prediction came true.

He mentioned that the cold weather will continue next week with brief snowfall. He added that currently in various countries around the world, accurate forecasts are made three to four months in advance, but unfortunately, our country’s meteorological organization is incapable of providing such forecasts.

He raised the question of why the national meteorological organization cannot make 3 to 4-month forecasts, suggesting that the Minister of Roads and Urban Development should pay special attention to this issue.

Sahar Tajbakhsh, the Muslim head of the Meteorological Organization, had stated on 15th of Bahman this year that some people have an idealistic view of meteorological forecasts, but naturally, when they have the knowledge of this subject, they know that the likelihood of ideal prediction is almost zero, and it is impossible to make a definite statement about the future. Many of the feedback we see from officials and the public regarding the status of forecasts and the performance of the Meteorological Organization are positive feedbacks compared to the past.


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