The Iran and America Puzzle with Russia’s Question Mark
The Iran and America puzzle with Russia’s question mark has now taken on the colors of blue, white, and red more than ever before, and Iran is caught in a strange predicament by hooking onto Russia’s policy. With the separation of four regions from Ukraine and in a rapid process, developments in Eastern European events have moved towards tightening the breathing space for Iran.
In the special report about the JCPOA, we pointed out that Iran is forced to keep the JCPOA negotiation space open, and America no longer insists heavily on emphasizing the agreement. The Biden administration wants to reach an agreement, but the conditions of the American elections increase the risk of showing understanding and cooperation with Iran. If an agreement is reached, the Biden administration and the Democrats naturally want to portray it as a significant achievement, depicting it as Iran surrendering to America’s demands and as a good and solid agreement, which is natural.
Iran is now caught in the realm of Russian politics. The new U.S. sanctions are against Russia and all countries that accept Putin’s action today and the annexation of Eastern Ukraine to Russia. This process might involve Iran even without recognizing the disintegration of Ukrainian territory, merely by cooperating with Russia in its aggression against that country.
With Zelensky’s new plans, Ukraine will never, under any circumstances, tolerate Iran’s alignment with Russia in the Ukraine conflict and its military assistance. Europe, and especially NATO, will certainly take action against Iran. Israel has already begun extensive cooperation with Ukraine to counter Iran in security and military matters.
The recent programs of Iranian officials over the past two days, their numerous interviews, and insistence on continuing negotiations and hoping to reach a JCPOA agreement can be defined in this context. Russia has already expelled Iranian forces from Syria. With the border agreements between Lebanon and Israel and the weakening of Hezbollah, Iran is losing a significant amount of its influence in Lebanon and, of course, hopes to remain an important player, but in any case, it has been severely hit in Lebanon.
In these circumstances and with this Russian question mark in front of the puzzle of Iran-America relations, Iran now needs the JCPOA and its negotiations.
