Republicans have the upper hand

Republicans have the upper hand

Republicans have the upper hand, while there are three weeks left until the final day of the 2022 elections, and practically voting and elections have begun. Public opinion and the approach of American voters are being closely monitored by polling institutions with serious concern. The past failures of these institutions in reflecting the voters’ approach and the differences between their projections and the final election results have never had any impact on the market’s enthusiasm for these institutions and will not have any in the future.

Especially now, with methods such as reviewing and adjusting the survey results and publishing different rankings based on considering past errors, they have provided themselves with a justification and an escape from the accusation of weakness and flaws in their method and approach. However, it should be noted that some of these institutions have presented acceptable examples of activity at the community level in recent years, and the overall approach of these particular institutions has been valuable.

An important development in US politics over the past two weeks, which has also been reflected in reputable polls, is the wave of events that unfolded for the Democrats in late summer. The issue of abortion and the Supreme Court ruling became a major topic in American society, and a wave of women registering to vote emerged. The achievements of Biden in Congress and the approval of his government’s investment plans in the economy and society have also pleased Democrats and some independents. Polls have shown significant changes in favor of the Democrats, although this wave has somewhat weakened now.

The cost of living and inflation remain the most important issue, and dissatisfaction with Biden in some states is still serious. It is a prevailing trend to note that, as we previously mentioned about the state of Georgia, the internal situation of some states is significantly better than the overall situation in the United States. This means that American citizens have realized that if there is failure and incompetence, it is from Washington, where the power is in the hands of the Democrats in both chambers of Congress and the White House. The global economic situation following Putin’s invasion of Ukraine is no longer a valid justification for voters to be flexible in their opinions.

Biden should have dedicated Wednesday to a speech about the importance of women’s rights and the abortion debate, in order to reignite this issue for the hot election market. Another strategy by the Democrats, which is a fundamental and key approach, is to highlight the destructive role of Trump and the weaknesses and extremism of his supported candidates, in order to influence voters with that overall approach. This approach is somewhat effective if it understands specific and precise issues. For example, in this abortion debate, they can address the extremist statements of these candidates about the abortion debate.

Speaking generally about the danger of Trump is a wrong approach that American citizens are tired of hearing general talk and badmouthing about Trump. They have already made their final decisions and opinions about Trump, and there is not much to add. If it had any benefit, the congressional investigation committee on the January 6th insurrection would have been effective, but its impact has not been that significant.

Now all discussions are focused on the upcoming elections, which are shaping up based on the economy and livelihood. This is a golden opportunity for Republicans, as recent polls indicate that voters consider them better suited to manage the economy than the Democrats. Recent polls by the Sierra Institute for The New York Times suggest that the Republican situation has significantly improved.

In these circumstances, winning the House of Representatives is almost certain for them, and the battle is over the future of the Senate. An interesting point in interpreting the recent poll is that in such elections where the president and his performance are a criterion for voters’ decision-making, the Democrats have come close to their maximum support from party supporters. On the other hand, Republicans still have the space and opportunity to attract votes from dissatisfied Biden supporters. This means that potentially more votes are available to Republicans.

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