Trump Again
Trump Again
Donald Trump became the President of the United States
Some jokingly say that they wish people from other countries could participate in the U.S. elections because the outcome affects almost the entire world. Iran is also one of those countries that is impacted by this issue.
Whether it’s a Democrat or Republican in the White House, we must eliminate the current atmosphere.
On Monday, a journalist asked the Foreign Ministry spokesperson in a press conference what our reaction would be if Trump becomes president and offers a deal to Iran. Mr. Baghai said this individual’s situation is clear, and it’s better not to speculate about hypothetical scenarios.
The second part of this question was answered, and Trump went to the White House, but it is unclear what we are supposed to do with this individual’s clear situation.
Iran needs to get out of this situation. On one hand, Iran managed to gain a breathing space with the green light from the Biden administration and export oil to China. We must ask ourselves whether this breathing space will continue during Trump’s era, whom analysts and observers know for his unpredictability.
Iran’s economy today, in November 2024, is weaker than in 2018. The internal conditions and the crises we’ve been through have also increased. According to our Foreign Minister, the international conditions today are very different from the times when the JCPOA was concluded and Trump tore it apart.
We are dealing with the consequences of the wars in Ukraine and Gaza, and the cases between Iran and the West have become more complicated over the past 6 years.
There is no short-term or medium-term solution ahead of us. Hardliners are trying to present BRICS as a solution to Iran’s sanctions issue, but according to the most optimistic experts, BRICS will bear fruit in the best case in a few decades, and at least two of its influential members, namely China and India, are among the top 10 trading partners of the United States.
We can deceive ourselves with the image of the BRICS currency in Putin’s hands, which is supposed to be Iran’s savior, but on one hand, if this idea faces no issues, it will have no short-term or medium-term impact for Iran, and on the other hand, to take advantage of its benefits, we must strive to lift the sanctions. Except for China, which buys Iranian oil at a discount and has a long commercial history with us, other BRICS member countries have turned to more trade with Iran since our membership in this mechanism became definite. BRICS should have given at least a small boost to our economy.
Iran must exit this situation, and exiting these conditions will not occur without serious negotiations with the U.S. In the upcoming multipolar world, the U.S. remains an important country, holding political and commercial mechanisms, and it will not decline soon in a way that would be beneficial for Iran.
So it is better to accept that the red elephant is the brother of the blue donkey and come to the conclusion that we must end this situation and address the unresolved cases between us.
The choices ahead for Iran are difficult and will certainly face obstruction and hindrance from domestic and foreign hardliners, but what can we do? Iran must make tough decisions and eventually sit at the negotiating table with Trump. Any government must first pay attention to its national interests and its people.