A new narrative from pollsters about the US elections
Kamala Harris is significantly ahead of her opponent at the federal level in a new Ipsos poll
Her lead in key states is 50 to 46 percent, which marks a significant shift from the last survey by this institution last month
Now there is an important change at play; when Biden was in the race, there was no excitement or enthusiasm, and many experts believed that the state of the economy, society, and politics in the country favored Trump for encouraging participation. Based on this, the current trend has changed considerably
The increasing trend of encouraging participation will benefit Harris. This is clearly seen in the difference between the views of Americans in general, registered Americans for the elections, and Americans who will definitely vote
The results of this poll show a situation similar to a recent New York Times poll, and it should be noted that the internal statistics of the poll and its results contain many positive points for Harris as well as specific warnings for her
The first warning is that Harris must take the increase in participation seriously. The Republican campaign managers for Trump in 2020 proved their remarkable ability to attract those who have always been disillusioned with or indifferent to politics
They particularly have the ability to attract men, and Harris will have serious problems in this area
There is no shortage of good news for Harris; she has changed the game among many age and racial groups
Especially when it comes to attracting non-partisan voters who do not have conservative or liberal partisan biases, the situation has completely changed
This poll was conducted before the widespread release of Harris’s economic program, and it remains to be seen what impact her proposed approaches and Trump’s efforts to redefine her as a leftist and communist will have on public opinion
Interestingly, the results of this poll have once again highlighted a subtle point: old age and the lack of mental and intellectual capacity to run the country are now attributes associated with Trump
