The Enigma of Iran and America with Russia’s Question Mark
The enigma of Iran and America with Russia’s question mark has now taken on the colors of blue, white, and red more than before, and Iran, by being hooked to Russia’s policy, is trapped in a strange predicament. With the separation of four regions from Ukraine and in a rapid process, developments in Eastern European events have moved towards tightening the breathing space for Iran.
In a special report on the JCPOA, we pointed out that Iran is forced to leave the negotiating space for the JCPOA open, and the US no longer insists heavily on emphasizing the agreement. The Biden administration wants to reach an agreement, but the conditions of the US elections increase the danger of showing understanding and cooperation with Iran. If an agreement is reached, naturally, the Biden administration and the Democrats would want to portray it as a major achievement, depicting it as Iran’s submission to US demands and as a good and solid agreement, which is natural.
Iran is now caught in the range of Russian politics. The new US sanctions are against Russia and all countries that accept Putin’s action today and the annexation of eastern Ukrainian regions to Russia. This process might include Iran, even without recognizing the partition of Ukrainian territory, merely by cooperating with Russia in its aggression against that country.
With Zelensky’s new plans, Ukraine will never tolerate Iran’s cooperation with Russia in the Ukraine battle and its military assistance, and Europe, especially NATO, will certainly act against Iran. Israel has already started extensive cooperation with Ukraine to counter Iran both in terms of security and military.
The recent two-day programs of Iranian officials and their numerous interviews and insistence on continuing negotiations and hoping to reach a JCPOA agreement can be defined in this context. Russia has already driven Iranian forces out of Syria. Iran, with the border agreements between Lebanon and Israel and the weakening of Hezbollah, is losing a significant amount of its influence in Lebanon and, of course, hopes to remain an important player, but in any case, it has been severely hit in Lebanon.
In these circumstances and with this Russian question mark in front of the enigma of Iran and America’s relationship, Iran now needs the JCPOA and its negotiations.