Trump Again
Trump Again
Donald Trump became the President of the United States
Some jokingly say that they wish people from other countries could also participate in the U.S. elections because the outcome affects almost the entire world. Iran is also one of those countries that is impacted by this issue.
Whether a Democrat or a Republican is in the White House, we must eliminate the existing atmosphere.
On Monday, a journalist asked the spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in a press conference what our reaction would be if Trump became president and offered a deal to Iran. Mr. Baghaei said the position of this individual is clear, and it’s better not to speculate about hypothetical scenarios.
The second part of this question was answered, and Trump went to the White House, but it is not clear what we are supposed to do with this individual’s clear position.
Iran needs to get out of this situation. On one hand, Iran managed to gain some breathing space with the green light from Biden’s administration and exported oil to China. We need to ask ourselves whether this breathing space will continue during Trump’s era, who analysts and observers know as unpredictable.
Iran’s economy today, in November 2024, is weaker than in 2018. The internal conditions and crises we have gone through have also increased compared to before. According to our Foreign Minister, the international conditions today are very different from when the JCPOA was concluded and Trump tore it apart.
We are dealing with the consequences of the wars in Ukraine and Gaza, and the cases between Iran and the West have become more complicated over the past six years.
There is no short-term or medium-term solution ahead of us. Hardliners are trying to present BRICS as a solution instead of addressing Iran’s sanctions issues, but according to the most optimistic experts, BRICS will bear fruit in the best case in a few decades, and at least two of its influential members, China and India, are among the top 10 trading partners of the United States.
We can deceive ourselves with the image of BRICS currency in Putin’s hands, which is supposed to be Iran’s savior, but if this idea faces no issues, it will have no short-term or medium-term impact for Iran. On the other hand, to benefit from it, we must work to lift the sanctions. Except for China, which buys Iranian oil at a discount and has a long-standing trade history with us, other BRICS member countries have turned to more trade with Iran since our membership in this mechanism was confirmed. BRICS should have given even a small boost to our economy.
Iran must exit this situation, and exiting these conditions will not occur without serious negotiations with the U.S. government. In the upcoming multilateral world, the U.S. is still an important country, holding political and commercial mechanisms, and it will not decline soon enough to be beneficial for Iran.
Therefore, it is better to accept that the red elephant is the brother of the blue donkey and conclude that we must end this situation and address the issues between us.
The choices ahead for Iran are difficult and will certainly face obstruction and resistance from domestic and foreign hardliners. However, Iran must make tough decisions and ultimately sit at the negotiating table with Trump. Every government must first pay attention to its national interests and its people.