Welcome to the most valuable impossible electoral battle in the world
In recent decades, two states have always held high value in American elections
One of them is Ohio, which once had high electoral votes, but over time, with the decline in the state’s economic prosperity, the migration of factories and businesses, especially to countries like China, and the stagnation of important industries, its population decreased, and consequently, its electoral votes in elections became less
Nevertheless, Ohio is a linchpin and connects various states in terms of thought and society
A state with cultural and social characteristics where now Trump and the Republicans have a lot of power. Ohio deserves detailed discussion in the future, but Florida has a different story
The jewel of the American election ring, with an increasing population due to the massive migration of retirees and business owners to this state, one of whom is Donald Trump himself, now holds 30 electoral votes. This state has always been attractive, yet various trends, such as the high influence of Republicans among Latino immigrants from countries like Cuba and Venezuela, the influence of evangelicals, and the importance of the votes of the elderly and retirees, have caused Democrats to fail in this state in recent cycles. Ron DeSantis’s significant victory in the recent gubernatorial race in this state led many to consider the state as a done deal, and many still believe that the return of Democrats in this state is an impossible mission
We must emphasize that Florida alone requires campaign expenditures equal to the total costs of several states, and its media advertising market needs a special task force with a structure equivalent to the entire campaign structure in all other states. Polls following Harris’s entry into the election showed the gap between the two rivals to be particularly close, but it was not convincing enough to entice Democrats to mobilize forces for it. Now, a Suffolk University poll has arrived, showing the gap between Trump and Harris at 47 to 42 percent, with Robert Kennedy also having 5 percent support. This is where the campaign model in Florida can draw Democrats into the field. Trump’s vote ceiling has been reached, and once again, like in 2020, his campaign will target a large group of the American population that typically does not vote and is naturally not registered to vote, and thus does not appear in polls. This was the secret to Trump’s sudden vote increase in 2020. Harris’s campaign also has plans for this segment of American society, and Florida might be a suitable place to execute this plan, although it is unclear how prevalent this non-voting group is in Florida. Florida is the land of electoral dreams, and if Democrats enter its field in the short time remaining, an exciting era will unfold
It should particularly be noted that Republican Senator Scott, who is defending his seat, is not far ahead of his opponent in the polls