Abbas Abdi: A major economic disaster is on the way
At the start of the new government, Abbas Abdi released an unofficial report that included a table estimating the status of some key economic indicators from the year 2021 to the end of 2027 in two different scenarios.
The first scenario was the lifting of sanctions or, in other words, the resolution of the JCPOA, and the second scenario was the continuation of the current situation.
This table appears optimistic because it has not taken unexpected events and occurrences into account in its calculations.
The lack of predicted economic growth in 2027 and before might imply that it will be negative, especially since it was previously announced that investment in the country is even less than the amount needed to offset depreciation.
This means that a full-scale disaster for the economy and the people of Iran is on the way.
Unfortunately, it must be said that with the JCPOA, the situation will improve, but not to the extent mentioned in that report. So even in the best scenario, our general situation will not be favorable, let alone in the worst scenarios.